Lisbon's Mayoral Race Too Close to Call
A recent poll conducted by Católica for RTP, Antena 1, and Público reveals a technical tie in the Lisbon mayoral election between Alexandra Leitão and Carlos Moedas. Leitão, representing a coalition of PS, Livre, Bloco de Esquerda, and PAN, holds 36% of voting intentions, while Moedas, leading the PSD, CDS, and Iniciativa Liberal coalition, follows closely with 35%.
Key Political Forces in the Poll
- Chega emerges as the third political force with 12% of the vote.
- CDU ranks fourth with 8%.
- A surprising fifth place goes to the "Democrática Aliança - Coligação PPM/PTP," though the report notes this could be due to voter confusion with "Aliança Democrática."
Stability of the Results
Despite potential errors, the poll emphasizes that the tie between Leitão and Moedas remains unchanged. This outcome suggests that an absolute majority in the Lisbon City Council is unlikely.
Voter Perceptions and Evaluations
When asked who they believe will win, 51% of respondents predict Carlos Moedas, compared to only 19% for Alexandra Leitão.
- Assessment of Moedas's Current Mandate:
- 42% rated it as "sufficient."
- 22% as "bad," 19% as "good," and 2% as "very good."
- Voters intending to support the PS-led coalition and CDU gave notably negative evaluations.
Incident-Specific Opinions
Regarding the Glória elevator accident:
- 33% think Moedas handled it well, while 32% believe he handled it poorly.
- For Leitão, 36% were unsure, and 27% felt she performed well.
Top Concerns for Lisbon Residents
- 70% identify housing as the primary issue.
- Other major problems include urban hygiene, immigration, health, and mobility.
This poll underscores the intense competition and voter indecision shaping Lisbon's political landscape.
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