PSD Holds Slight Edge in Lisbon, Porto, and Sintra Local Elections as Chega Shows Growth

Local Election Projections Reveal Tight Races

In the latest local elections, André Ventura deployed his key allies—Pedro Pinto and Rita Matias—into the political fray, but early results suggest a challenging outcome. Ventura may interpret this as a sign of growth for his party, though the night is still young, and his response is awaited.

Sintra: Chega's Mixed Fortunes

Starting with Rita Matias in Sintra, projections from Pitagórica (in partnership with ICS, ISCTE, and GfK) for TVI and CNN Portugal place her in third position, with an expected vote share between 19.4% and 23.6%. This puts her well behind the leading candidates, Marco Almeida (PSD) and Ana Mendes Godinho (PS), who are in a technical tie. However, Ventura might see a silver lining: Chega has grown in Sintra compared to the 2021 local elections, where it secured only 9.09% of the votes.

Faro: Setback for Chega

In Faro, Pedro Pinto faces a projected heavy defeat, with vote estimates ranging from 14% to 17.8%. He trails significantly behind the candidates backed by the Socialist Party (PS) and Social Democratic Party (PSD), António Pina and Cristóvão Norte, respectively. Despite the gap, Chega has improved its performance here as well, up from a mere 5.13% in 2021.

Porto and Lisbon: Modest Gains Amid Defeats

In Porto, Miguel Côrte-Real is projected to reach a maximum of 10.2% of the votes, an increase from the 2.95% achieved in 2021. Similarly, in Lisbon, Bruno Mascarenhas could potentially secure up to 11.1%, up from 4.41% in the previous elections. These figures highlight Chega's growth across multiple municipalities, even as it remains behind the established parties.